Date of Award
2024
Degree Type
UG Dissertation
First Advisor
Prof. ZHANG Baohui
Abstract
What factors explain the increasingly confrontational posture between Beijing and Manila since 2022? To what extent will the geopolitical tension transcend into a great-power hot war? This study aims to address these questions through a suggested framework involving the lens of structural, misperception and domestic theories to account for the factors contributing to the spiral of crisis. While security assessments of involved states are analysed on a case-by-case basis, the research findings suggest that the ongoing spiral of crisis largely adheres to the logic of security dilemma substantiated by structural and domestic factors. Offering a timely analysis regarding Manila's repivot to Washington and its incorporation within a rising multilateral security architecture, this research also offers insights in depicting the implications of increased deterrence against China's maritime grey-zone coercion.
Language
English
Copyright
The copyright of this dissertation is owned by its author. Any reproduction, adaptation, distribution or dissemination of this thesis without express authorization is strictly prohibited.
Recommended Citation
Chui, K. S. (2024). An emerging war? Reviewing the security triangulation between the Philippines, China and the United States over the South China Sea dispute (UG dissertation, Lingnan University, Hong Kong). Retrieved from https://commons.ln.edu.hk/socsci_fyp/23