Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities
Document Type
Journal article
Source Publication
British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Publication Date
6-1-2007
Volume
58
Issue
2
First Page
299
Last Page
329
Publisher
Oxford University Press
Abstract
In this article I criticize the recommendations of some prominent statisticians about how to estimate and compare probabilities of the repeated sudden infant death and repeated murder. The issue has drawn considerable public attention in connection with several recent court cases in the UK. I try to show that when the three components of the Bayesian inference are carefully analyzed in this context, the advice of the statisticians turns out to be problematic in each of the steps.
DOI
10.1093/bjps/axm015
Print ISSN
00070882
E-ISSN
14643537
Publisher Statement
Copyright © 2007 The Author
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Full-text Version
Publisher’s Version
Language
English
Recommended Citation
Neven, S. (2007). Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 58(2), 299-329. doi: 10.1093/bjps/axm015