Title

Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities

Document Type

Journal article

Source Publication

British Journal for the Philosophy of Science

Publication Date

6-1-2007

Volume

58

Issue

2

First Page

299

Last Page

329

Abstract

In this article I criticize the recommendations of some prominent statisticians about how to estimate and compare probabilities of the repeated sudden infant death and repeated murder. The issue has drawn considerable public attention in connection with several recent court cases in the UK. I try to show that when the three components of the Bayesian inference are carefully analyzed in this context, the advice of the statisticians turns out to be problematic in each of the steps.

DOI

10.1093/bjps/axm015

Print ISSN

00070882

E-ISSN

14643537

Publisher Statement

Copyright © 2007 The Author

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Full-text Version

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Recommended Citation

Neven, S. (2007). Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science, 58(2), 299-329. doi: 10.1093/bjps/axm015