Title

Momentum effect differs across stock performances : Chinese evidence

Document Type

Journal article

Source Publication

Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series

Publication Date

4-1-2014

Volume

30

Issue

2

First Page

279

Last Page

288

Publisher

Springer

Keywords

chinese stock market, investment strategy, momentum effect, quantile regression

Abstract

Prior empirical studies find positive and negative momentum effect across the global nations, but few focus on explaining the mixed results. In order to address this issue, we apply the quantile regression approach to analyze the momentum effect in the context of Chinese stock market in this paper. The evidence suggests that the momentum effect in Chinese stock is not stable across firms with different levels of performance. We find that negative momentum effect in the short and medium horizon (3 months and 9 months) increases with the quantile of stock returns. And the positive momentum effect is observed in the long horizon (12 months), which also intensifies for the high performing stocks. According to our study, momentum effect needs to be examined on the basis of stock returns. OLS estimation, which gives an exclusive and biased result, provides misguiding intuitions for momentum effect across the global nations. Based on the empirical results of quantile regression, effective risk control strategies can also be inspired by adjusting the proportion of assets with past performances.

DOI

10.1007/s10255-014-0290-2

Print ISSN

01689673

E-ISSN

16183932

Funding Information

Supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.11271368), Beijing Philosophy and Social Science Foundation Grant (No.12JGB051), Project of Ministry of Education supported by the Specialized Research Fund for the Doctoral Program of Higher Education of China (Grant No. 20130004110007) , The Key Program of National Philosophy and Social Science Foundation Grant (No. 13AZD064), Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities and the Research Funds of Renmin University of China (No.10XNK025) and China Statistical Research Project (No. 2011LZ031). {12JGB051, 20130004110007, 13AZD064,10XNK025, 2011LZ031}

Publisher Statement

Copyright © 2014 Institute of Applied Mathematics, Academy of Mathematics and System Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. Access to external full text or publisher's version may require subscription.

Full-text Version

Publisher’s Version

Recommended Citation

Li, Z.-y., Liu, S.-b., & Tian, M.-z. (2014). Momentum effect differs across stock performances: Chinese evidence. Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica, English Series, 30(2), 279-288. doi: 10.1007/s10255-014-0290-2

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