Title

Bounds analysis of competing risks : a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration

Document Type

Journal article

Source Publication

Empirical Economics

Publication Date

2-1-2014

Volume

46

Issue

1

First Page

199

Last Page

228

Publisher

Springer

Keywords

Administrative data, Cumulative incidence curve, Difference-in-differences

Abstract

By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude anymeaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50% of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state.

DOI

10.1007/s00181-012-0675-0

Print ISSN

03777332

E-ISSN

14358921

Funding Information

We thank two anonymous referees and the participants of numerous seminars and for helpful comments and Simon Lee for helpful discussions. Arntz gratefully acknowledges financial support by the German Research Foundation (DFG) through the research project “Potentials for more flexibility of regional labor markets by means of interregional labor mobility”. We use a sample drawn from the Employee and Benefit Recipient History (V6.0) of the Institute of Employment Research (IAB). The data preparation and analyses were made possible by the Research Data Centre (FDZ) of the German Federal Employment Agency at the IAB because the project provides new insights on data quality. We thank selected staff members of the Research Data Centre (FDZ) of the German Federal Employment Agency at the IAB and especially Stefan Seth for the help with the data.

Publisher Statement

Copyright © Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013. Access to external full text or publisher's version may require subscription.

Full-text Version

Publisher’s Version

Recommended Citation

Arntz, M., Lo, S. M. S., & Wilke, R. A. (2014). Bounds analysis of competing risks: A non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration. Empirical Economics, 46(1), 199-228. doi: 10.1007/s00181-012-0675-0

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